Tuesday, April 01, 2008

If the Derby Were This Weekend...

After a digesting a great weekend of racing with the Dubai World Cup and a fascinating Florida Derby, I have prepared for your reading pleasure the official 'If The Derby Were Saturday' list of who I'd like to see in the starting gate, along with their next (actual) start. You'll notice there are not 20 entrants in this little exercise:


Pyro
A model of consistency, albeit one with low Beyers
Blue Grass
Tomcito
May have unreported earnings from Peru, which apparently do count
Coolmore Lexington
Big Brown
Great performance, but still light on experience
Kentucky Derby
Visionaire
Seems to be improving at the right time
Blue Grass
Denis of Cork
Why the carousel of entries before picking a prep race?
Illinois Derby
El Gato Malo
Benefits from Georgie Boy's absence
Santa Anita Derby
Big Truck
Earnings are a question
Coolmore Lexington
War Pass
I still don't think he wants the Derby distance, but could bounce back
Wood Memorial
Salute the Sarge
Has a lot of training time to make up
Coolmore Lexington?
Z Humor
I'm not a huge fan, but can't argue with his earnings
Illinois Derby
Smooth Air
Did he face a monster in Big Brown?
Kentucky Derby
Court Vision
Perhaps with some improvement
Wood Memorial
Tale of Ekati
Looking for redemption in the Wood, great workouts
Wood Memorial
Eight Belles
Filly has a 100 Beyer and could still try the Arkansas Derby
Fantasy Stakes
Proud Spell
Her numbers beat those of Pyro in Louisiana
Ashland Stakes

Of the top 20 graded stakes earners, Georgie Boy and Adriano are (almost) definitely not being considered for the Derby, but I would prefer to thin the ranks further. I would toss out Kodiak Kowboy, Anak Nakal, Majestic Warrior and Halo Najib; they simply have not impressed me enough lately.

Let's recall that Chelokee won finished third in (thanks for the catch, Michael!) last year's Florida Derby and skipped the Kentucky Derby (although he made a nice return to racing at Gulfstream over the weekend, finishing ahead of Rehoboth in an allowance race). A lot can happen in five weeks.

Finally, for those of you who have difficulty with time management, Google has solved that problem too!

3 comments:

Michael said...

Scat Daddy won the Florida Derby last year -- Chelokee came in third.

Superfecta said...

D'oh! Good catch, I am far too lazy to look things up properly. Gracias!

EquiSpace said...

Great post! I'd love to see one or more of the fillies try it on the First Saturday of May...R2R's win over Curlin was best race I've ever seen live...