Sunday, August 03, 2008

Big Brown Ekes Out a Win

Big Brown's narrow victory in the Haskell will likely not answer many questions; did he show great determination in running down Coal Play (this time actually beating the 'other' Nick Zito horse in the field) just at the wire or did he look like a horse without much left? On paper, he should have waltzed away from this field easily; Kent Desormeaux seemed to be going to work on him for quite a while before getting a response, but it could be framed either way.

While it's easy to knock the field (indeed, it's pretty easy to knock just about any 3-year-old male field this season), the one fact that does seem clear is that Big Brown has a long way to go before he would look even competitive against older horses if this is how hard he needs to work to beat a considerably less-than-stellar field of his agemates. (And let's not even discuss running him against older mares - Zenyatta would obviously mop the floor with him if he put in that sort of effort against her, as I believe many of her division would).

Of course, that could be due to any number of factors (and no doubt some will point to the absence of Winstrol, although I would wager any number of physical or psychological issues could affect a growing horse in equal or greater measure -- perhaps he just does not like Desormeaux). He'd probably be closer to the likes of Commentator next year, but as it's something we'll never see (barring a George Washington-esque sub-fertility situation), it hardly seems worth dwelling on.


There is a single question that needs to be answered before those above, however -- was this performance 'good enough' to keep him out of the breeding shed for a few more races?

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

He's a good horse, no matter what his connections.

Anonymous said...

Like an off the juice slugger who can't quite seem to reach the fences as often, the 'roid-free version of Big Brwon is rather boring.

Sean O said...

Curlin didn't win the Haskell last year and he seemed to do okay. Lot of the Triple Crown horses seem to have a bad first race back.

I was impressed that he won and it looked like it just took him longer to get into gear. because you see Kent do the familiar lookback once he finally passes Coal Play...I'm going to wait until the next race to see what the deal is. Remember all the Curlin doubters before the Gold Cup last year.

blah said...

I was at the race and this is unquestionably NOT the same horse that ran at the fla derby and kent derby (the best horse I've ever seen). That Big Brown blows away this field. Whatever the reason might be, lack of juicing, problems with feet, desormeaux, etc., this is not the freak-horse that he once was. I hope they retire him.

libby said...

You know it is bad for the horse when Blah has lost interest. It was nice to see a big crowd at the track, you've got to give Big Brown a hand for that!

Sean O said...

It'll be neat if they take Big Brown to the MassCap or the Penn Derby and give a real boost to a smaller track.

I just read that Curlin's connections are announcing his next race today.

Anonymous said...

I believe that Breeders Cup Chat on Bloodhorse says it all:
"after looking at the replays several times, I give Big Brown a little more credit than I did while watching the race live. One must take into consideration that he was entering off a nearly two-month layoff and won despite coming off a last place finish in his most recent race, something no horse had ever done in the Haskell.

More importantly, after seeing the fractions and final time, it must be pointed out that Coal Play ran a terrific race. As stated above, Coal Play had done nothing prior to this race for people to say he was anything but an average 3-year-old. But you can take nothing away from the fact that he ran a :23 opening quarter, :46 2/5 half-mile, 1:10 4/5 for six furlongs and 1:35 mile. They are very solid splits. Anyone, let alone Big Brown, would have a difficult time running down a horse who runs those numbers. And the final time of 1:48.31 was respectable.

And while it was obvious that Coal Play was leg weary in that final furlong, give Big Brown a lot of credit for having the grit to run by him when he was obviously not at his best."

blah said...

Nope, the track played fast yesterday, it was made for good times. The bottom line is that Brown struggled with lesser horses and I'm sure Dutrow knows that.

michele said...

Love him or hate him, he's still won a bunch of big races. I think that people wouldn't feel as much negativity toward him if it weren't for his trainer/handlers. Which is a pity for the horse. He might not be a "freak" but he's still a talented colt.